Description
My online guide to intrinsic valuation.
You will be able to value companies like Tesla, Amazon, Microsoft, Walmart, & JP Morgan Chase & Co.
You will learn every step of the intrinsic valuation process and be able to:
- Determine the intrinsic value of any financial asset.
- Identify undervalued stocks and invest with conviction.
- Make better risk-adjusted investment decisions.
- Understand what drives the intrinsic value of any company.
- Deeply appreciate the link between time, risk and capital costs.
- Recognise how to develop a true margin of safety.
Course Curriculum:
Topic 1 – Introduction
The intuition behind intrinsic valuation.
The definition of intrinsic valuation.
Intrinsic valuation myths.
Methodology overview.
Pillars of intrinsic valuation.
Topic 2 – Foundations
Time value of money.
Risky vs risk-free cash flows.
The laws of intrinsic valuation.
Debt vs equity.
Different approaches, same result.
The intuition behind the risk-free rate.
Risk-free rate definition.
Risk-free rate estimation.
Topic 4 – Equity Risk Premiums
What is the equity risk premium?
Backwards-looking ERP.
Forward-looking ERP.
Market risk.
From market risk to corporate risk.
Topic 5 – Relative Riskiness
The intuition behind relative risk measures.
The CAPM.
Issues with the CAPM.
Deconstructing equity, asset and product betas.
The cost of equity.
Topic 6 – The Cost of Capital
What classifies debt for valuation?
Estimating the cost of debt.
Estimating the WACC.
Things to remember.
Topic 7 – Free Cash Flows
What are free cash flows?
Calculating FCF.
Continuing our examples.
Topic 8 – Growth
The reinvestment link.
Fundamental growth rate.
FCF and growth normalization.
Top-down forecasting.
Corporate life-cycles.
Topic 9 – Stable Value
The perpetuity assumption.
The stable growth model.
The laws of stable growth.
Topic 10 – Final Adjustments
The going-concern assumption & distress.
Investments & other non-operational assets.
Unfunded claims, pensions & litigation.
Employee options.
Topic 11 – Sensitivity Analysis
Putting it all together.
Bull, base & bear cases.
Review & overview of the different approaches.
Final tips & parting words.
What’s included
- I’ve divided this course into 12 Topics with 400+ slides in total to develop your intuitive understanding of all the steps and concepts.
- 8x spreadsheet models to demonstrate every stage of the valuation process.
- I’ve compiled data over the last 5 years to estimate relative risk measures for every industry.
- Loaded with diagrams and graphs to visualise key concepts and instil an intuitive understanding of models.
- Detailed examples from real companies using current data. Follow a valuation of Unilever, Wells Fargo and Forterra from start to finish.
- Deeply understand core concepts and appreciate how the many moving parts of valuation fit together.
You can intrinsically value any company!
Empower yourself and invest with conviction.
Who Am I?
Value investor. Family office. A decade in hedge funds, mutual funds, and VC. B.Comm/B.Sci (Adv. Math) USyd. 🦘 in 🇬🇧
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